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✍️ I’m Dan Bustamante, founder of The LongVol Report and Bustamante Capital Management LLC - a L/S hedge fund and investment firm. I began in this business at the age of 20 with Charles Schwab and became a Portfolio Manager by the age of 29. Today I live half of the year in Puerto Rico and half in my hometown, Phoenix. I’ve invested in private companies and even was the CEO of a post-bankruptcy turn around called Jack Grace USA.

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Boeing Earnings: Prepare for Takeoff

First, thank you to Phil Rosen and @openingbelldaily for including me in their “Best Ideas” post for their readers - over 200,000! We spoke on Saturday last week about Boeing and I walked him through the long thesis which we’ve talked about in the weekly PDR Report and on the show for the last 6 months.

$BA ( ▲ 2.09% ) was up this week with two great pieces of news.

The earnings report was as expected - yes they lost money but it was less than expected and there were other positives that were not expected like the sale to bring in $10.5B in cash.

The company cash flow is going positive by end of year and then really starts to take off in 2026 and 2027 - this is the takeoff for Boeing after a some rough years and some realize it and some will still stick to the old narrative because they don’t crack an income statement, balance sheet or simply read the earnings!

✅ Free cash flow came in much better than expected at $2.3B versus prior guidance of -$4B and estimates of $3.6B. This is a positive as they will continue to pay down debt and if that cash flow increases it helps the overall turn-around to accelerate making the conservative $200 target mosts analysts have CONSERVATIVE.

When I spoke with Phil Rosen I said $220 was possible and this was BEFORE this great earnings report and the sale bringing in $10.5B ($10B after taxes).

• Concerns about China rejecting their planes is NOT an issue - they simply go to another company and it is less than 3% of their entire company backlog. Again - headlines are misleading at first….we have to dig into it.

• Sale of digital aviations business for $10B - coming in end of year.

• Yes, tariffs impact Boeing but they are manageable according to Wells Fargo and other firms.

✅ Conclusion:

Will there be shakeouts along the way still? Yes. But the major concerns are in the past and like all stocks the headlines will shake people out especially those who don’t crack a balance sheet or income statement and simply rely on “gut feel”, the chart only or their own view of the Company which, if they pay attention, would change.

Most won’t do the work or listen and that’s great for us because when they puke it up (which will happen again soon) we can buy more.

🔎And if you don’t want to do that work and are a HNW individual, family office or entrepreneur and outsource it you learn more about asset management.

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