The LongVol Report Article & Podcast

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✍️ I’m Dan Bustamante, founder of The LongVol Report and Bustamante Capital Management LLC - a L/S hedge fund and investment firm. I began in this business at the age of 20 with Charles Schwab and became a Portfolio Manager by the age of 29. Today I live half of the year in Puerto Rico and half in my hometown, Phoenix. I’ve invested in private companies and even was the CEO of a post-bankruptcy turn around called Jack Grace USA.

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Shake Off The Bad News

U.S. stock markets showed mixed performance amid tariff-related developments and economic data releases. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 1.9% and 2%, respectively, while the Dow rose 1.6%, following a strong May where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted their best monthly gains since March 2023 (6.2% and 9.6%, respectively). Technology and AI-related stocks, like NVIDIA, Broadcom (AVGO), and Palantir (PLTR), continued to drive gains, supported by strong earnings and AI demand. However, tariff uncertainty, particularly after President Trump accused China of violating trade agreements, dampened sentiment late in the week.

Weak jobs data, with initial jobless claims rising to 247,000 (an eight-month high) and services sector layoffs increasing, raised concerns about economic growth, boosting expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September (75% probability). Consumer staples and utilities outperformed, while consumer discretionary and energy lagged. The S&P 500 traded in a consolidation range between 5,785 and 5,965, with technical support at the 200-day moving average. Overall, markets remained volatile but resilient, with investors focused on upcoming jobs data and trade policy developments.

Moving on….

This week we highlighted 3 ideas from the report that had the potential to be active: $OKLO ( ▲ 6.64% ) $HIMS ( ▲ 6.75% ) $HOOD ( ▲ 3.27% ) and all three did not disappoint. We opened up the week with all three aggressively rallying with $HOOD ( ▲ 3.27% ) being the only one that did not reverse on what’s called an outside day reversal.

Shares of Etsy $ETSY ( ▲ 1.74% ) had a great week so far and were highlighted in the report this week - they name has been tracked for the last six months and we’re beginning to inflect there.

DeltaOne & Swing Portfolio Highlights:

✅ Conclusion:

NFP Data Friday is still coming out but so far these highs remain resilient and picking the spots here is the key. There were quite a few outside day reversals this week and that’s a bit concerning here on these highs so I am still in the camp that we need to check back a bit across the board and have been booking gains on many names this week in the short-term trading book.

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