Episode 74: Back To The Highs

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• Two New Positions Opened This Week

This week, the U.S. stock market showed mixed performance amid geopolitical and economic developments. The S&P 500 remained nearly flat and flows were strong in tech names as we head into the end of the month and Q2. A ceasefire in the Middle East and falling oil prices boosted investor sentiment early in the week, with the S&P 500 nearing a record high. However, concerns over potential tariff impacts and the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.5% introduced caution. The Fed's projections raised inflation expectations to 3.1% for 2025, citing trade uncertainties, while growth forecasts were lowered to 1.4%.

Energy Shorts - Coming into this week energy names were are key technical points so the idea was to watch off the open Monday. I came in long $SLB ( ▲ 1.81% ) $EOG ( ▲ 0.99% ) $CVX ( ▲ 1.03% ) and $VLO ( ▲ 1.1% ) from weeks ago and cut them off the open given the price action.

This was also noted Monday morning in DeltaOne to subscribers pre-market.

Oil names got a highlighted note in the Sunday PDF report as well and for those trading it on the short-side it was as profitable as you can ask for.

Moving on….

$TSLA ( ▲ 0.28% )  - This had a great week with the RoboTaxi event and the stock traded like a missile Monday morning off the open before rolling over here to end the week.

This was also highlighted in DeltaOne pre-market on Monday.

And Finally - $RKLB ( ▲ 9.43% ): This made it into the report a few weeks ago and it was highlighted in DeltaOne this week given both the launch and the high time frame technical setup. This remains a trading-sardine name for me at best and it’s done it’s job to produce alpha.

LongVol Investor Conference 2025

And finally…. The LongVol Fall Investor Conference has been scheduled from November 10-14th in Phoenix. This is going to be a great event with 4-days of learning, a day of golf and a final night at my favorite wing spot and local dive bar in Phoenix called JTs Wings, we’ll be renting out the bar/event space for everyone who attends and it will be a great time to meet other members, learn and wind down the trading year.

✅ Conclusion:

This was a decent week for some tactical trading but the indices flows remain light as we head into the end of the quarter and month. As always, window-dressing is expected and many shiny-object stock names are back to new highs reeling in investors back into the same complacency they had in Q1 this year. While I don’t invest in those names I do think we’re headed for a technical check back to start Q3 in many of them and readers will be updated in the Sunday report.

Finally, for DeltaOne Members we have the Q3 portfolio call Sunday at 4pm EST and the link will be posted in the chat.

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