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Episode 80: Thematic Playbook

Episode 80: Thematic Playbook

This week we cover Thematic trades into The Fed Rate Cut, Talk About Market Headlines, A Few Charts and Reader Q&As.

The LongVol
August 14, 2025

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As we head what is expected to be a rate cut here in September I can’t help but to point to the idea that this is what we saw last Summer as well into, guess what? A September rate cut. The same thematic playbook strategies then (aside from Gold names) are the SAME play again this time.

People ask about “my system” - I don’t have a system per se, I have frameworks that we use in the fund to generate what are called Event-Driven Trades and then Core Positions meaning turn-arounds, FCF positive companies and other value plays that may be out of favor.

That’s it. This is what I do. I don’t chase things I know nothing about, I don’t bet on companies with negative FCF and no sign to how that changes (but I will trade them) and I am not out here looking for the next Amazon.

I invest and trade into SURE THINGS.

And those sure things are part of what we call a Playbook. As a subscriber to The LongVol Report PDF you can access both frameworks and this week we’re going to focus on some of the thematic/event-driven ideas as we head into the September rate cut.

These are trade able themes and themes exist ALL the time, each year, over and over and over. So, instead of the idea that the world is always ending, or that a recession is always near, we focus on those frameworks to generate idea flow.

And for those of you that actually pay attention, and can get past your Matrix programming of everything has to be doom and gloom or market tops, then maybe this weeks article will help or maybe it won’t and if that’s the case then using the Swing Alerts Portfolio or our asset management firm are better choices.

I already made a video this week with the “Best Ideas” from The LongVol Report and if that gets play this will be the new format going forward. There were 5 ideas from the report this week that personally caught my attention and I walked through why, what triggered me into them and general commentary: